Bet 823

Duration 2 years (02020-02022)

“The total Australian infected population from the COVID-19 virus will be less than 1% of the population.”

Neeharika Prasad


Prasad's Argument

Experts and medical practitioners are predicting up to 70% of the Australian population could be infected, with lower bound being around 20%. I don't believe this takes into account any critical statistical analysis and instead is being predicted based on limited data points. Even 20% of the population is 5 million people, which is a ridiculously high number given the density of the Australian population. Hence there is a strong argument to be made that the final number will be in the hundreds of thousands, if not the tens of thousands.

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