Bet 809

Duration 11 years (02019-02030)

“Measurement While Drilling Telemetry Transmission Rates will meet or exceed 10 bits per second reliably across more than 50% of the industry. Mud Pulse will meet or exceed 10 bits per second. Electromagnetic will meet or exceed 20 bits per second.”

PREDICTOR
Kenneth C Miller

CHALLENGER
Unchallenged

Miller's Argument

Drilling Technology is experiencing an unprecedented increase in improvements in rate of penetration drilling at rates that exceed 10X the previous decade. Telemetry rates for Measurement While Drilling Systems must increase in order to meet this demand. Numerous enabling patents are beginning to expire allowing for mass market adoption of key inventions to deliver these technology rates.

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