Bet 767

Duration 17 years (02018-02035)

“By 2035 there will be an AI System that, without prior knowledge of the movie or related material, is capable of explaining the meaning of the movie "2001 A Space Odyssey" in a deep and meaningful way including a cogent explanation of how it pertains to the AI System itself.”

PREDICTOR
Steven N Willmott

CHALLENGER
Unchallenged

Willmott's Argument

The prediction is meaningful because it implies that the system in question not only can deduce meanings in human creative works, it must also have enough self-awareness to recognize itself in the computer which is one of the central characters.

The prediction coming true would also imply that AI systems would be advanced enough to comprehend many human hopes and fears for both humans and robots / AIs.

I believe this well within the capabilities of technology in the next 17 years. The reasoning powers remain a challenge, so is self-awareness. However, with the speed of current change, this looks feasible.

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